Numancia vs Écija Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1995 |
ALA
0 - 0
NUM
62%
22%
17%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
NUM
1 - 1
GER
73%
19%
8%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
AMU
0 - 5
NUM
24%
28%
48%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
NUM
1 - 0
BEA
61%
24%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
CFP
0 - 0
NUM
23%
29%
48%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Écija Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1995 |
ECI
3 - 1
MAN
74%
19%
7%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1995 |
ALM
3 - 0
ECI
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
ECI
1 - 0
MEL
62%
24%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
MMA
0 - 0
ECI
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
ECI
0 - 0
BET
59%
25%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |