Numancia vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
LOG
0 - 0
NUM
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
NUM
3 - 0
ASP
49%
28%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
SPB
0 - 0
NUM
61%
24%
15%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
NUM
1 - 1
CUL
52%
27%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
NUM
3 - 1
LAL
54%
26%
20%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
DEP
3 - 1
LAL
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
GIM
0 - 0
DEP
57%
25%
19%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
DEP
0 - 0
VAL
46%
27%
28%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
CFP
3 - 1
DEP
51%
27%
22%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1992 |
DEP
1 - 1
PON
51%
27%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |