Numancia vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
LEM
1 - 1
NUM
26%
29%
45%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
RAC
0 - 1
NUM
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
NUM
1 - 1
UPL
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
RSO
3 - 1
NUM
30%
30%
40%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1995 |
NUM
0 - 0
RAC
16%
24%
61%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
CUL
3 - 1
AVI
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
TUD
0 - 0
CUL
39%
29%
33%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
LEM
0 - 1
CUL
33%
29%
38%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
CUL
5 - 1
UPL
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
RSO
0 - 2
CUL
47%
27%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +2 |