Numancia vs Marino de Luanco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.4%
2-0
19%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.6%
4.8%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NUM
1 - 0
OSA
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TUD
2 - 2
NUM
8%
17%
76%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NUM
0 - 0
HAR
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
TAR
0 - 2
NUM
7%
15%
78%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NUM
0 - 2
SDL
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAU
1 - 0
MAR
21%
25%
54%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
URR
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GIN
0 - 4
MAR
20%
22%
57%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NAV
0 - 1
MAR
13%
21%
66%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MOS
0 - 4
MAR
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | +1 |