Numancia vs Club Bermeo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
GIM
6 - 0
NUM
33%
31%
37%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
NUM
2 - 0
RUN
66%
22%
12%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
BAR
2 - 0
NUM
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1994 |
NUM
1 - 0
IZA
72%
19%
9%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1994 |
VAL
1 - 1
NUM
30%
30%
40%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Club Bermeo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
CLU
1 - 0
RSO
48%
28%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
CLU
0 - 0
GIM
53%
27%
20%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
RUN
0 - 0
CLU
54%
25%
21%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1994 |
CLU
2 - 4
BAR
42%
31%
28%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 1994 |
IZA
0 - 0
CLU
45%
27%
28%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |