Numancia vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
17.3%
2-0
19.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.3%
4%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
NUM
1 - 0
UPL
73%
19%
8%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 0
NUM
14%
25%
62%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
NUM
2 - 2
VAL
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ROB
0 - 0
NUM
13%
23%
64%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
NUM
1 - 0
LEA
76%
17%
7%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SEV
4 - 0
LOR
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
LOR
2 - 2
GRA
28%
26%
46%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
UCA
1 - 0
LOR
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
LOR
1 - 1
YEC
37%
27%
36%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
LOR
6 - 1
CFC
76%
15%
8%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |