Numancia vs CF Extremadura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
NUM
2 - 3
ZAM
78%
14%
8%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
RAY
2 - 0
NUM
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
ZAM
1 - 3
NUM
30%
29%
40%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
NUM
2 - 1
ELC
55%
25%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1997 |
NUM
2 - 0
REC
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CF Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
EXT
1 - 0
PLA
82%
13%
5%
|
73 | 30 | 43 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
ELC
0 - 1
EXT
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
PLA
1 - 1
EXT
18%
25%
57%
|
74 | 30 | 44 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
EXT
1 - 0
XER
79%
15%
7%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
DEP
1 - 0
EXT
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -2 |