Numancia vs Casetas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
NUM
0 - 2
RAY
30%
28%
42%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
ZAR
1 - 5
NUM
28%
30%
42%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
NUM
2 - 1
TUD
69%
20%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
ALA
2 - 2
NUM
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
SSC
1 - 0
NUM
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
UDC
0 - 1
GER
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
AMU
2 - 2
UDC
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
UDC
1 - 0
BEA
49%
26%
25%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +4 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
CFP
1 - 0
UDC
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
UDC
2 - 3
RUN
31%
28%
40%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |