Numancia vs Cádiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GIM
2 - 0
NUM
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 0
REU
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 3
NUM
36%
30%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NUM
2 - 0
GET
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LEV
1 - 0
NUM
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAD
0 - 0
REU
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
GET
3 - 2
CAD
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CAD
2 - 1
MIR
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MLL
0 - 0
CAD
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAD
1 - 0
ALM
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |