Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-4
Numancia vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
50.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ZAR
2 - 1
NUM
78%
16%
6%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
NUM
2 - 1
VAL
52%
28%
21%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
TCF
1 - 2
NUM
86%
9%
5%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
NUM
2 - 4
HUE
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
BAR
2 - 1
NUM
64%
21%
15%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
BUR
2 - 2
SEV
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
RAY
2 - 2
BUR
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
BUR
1 - 1
RSO
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
HER
0 - 0
BUR
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
BUR
0 - 0
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |