Numancia vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
19%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
ALA
2 - 1
NUM
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
NUM
2 - 1
HER
59%
24%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
RSO
4 - 1
NUM
47%
29%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
NUM
1 - 0
OSA
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
TUD
2 - 5
NUM
40%
31%
29%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1993 |
BAS
2 - 0
BAR
41%
30%
28%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
LOG
1 - 1
BAS
36%
30%
34%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1993 |
BAS
4 - 1
ELG
71%
20%
9%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
GIM
0 - 0
BAS
53%
28%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1993 |
BAS
1 - 1
AND
55%
27%
18%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |