Numancia vs Barça Atlètic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
HER
1 - 3
NUM
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 3
DEP
29%
28%
43%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
NUM
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 1
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HUE
2 - 1
NUM
33%
29%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barça Atlètic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 2
VAD
37%
26%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 2
FCB
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 1
ELC
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
4 - 1
FCB
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 0
MUR
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |