Numancia vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
GIR
3 - 0
NUM
86%
9%
5%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
NUM
4 - 1
ARO
67%
16%
16%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
NUM
5 - 2
AVI
77%
13%
10%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
CDB
1 - 0
NUM
67%
17%
16%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
CPC
3 - 0
NUM
67%
16%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
BAR
0 - 4
SPO
55%
20%
25%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
OSA
2 - 0
BAR
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
BAR
6 - 1
CAS
56%
19%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
GIR
0 - 0
BAR
53%
21%
25%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
BAR
2 - 1
LEV
61%
18%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |