Numancia vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
NUM
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 2
NUM
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
NUM
2 - 1
SAB
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 1
NUM
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NUM
2 - 1
HER
37%
28%
34%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 1
VAD
13%
23%
65%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 2
ALM
11%
22%
67%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 2
ALC
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 3
CEL
16%
26%
59%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
MUR
3 - 2
ALC
65%
22%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |