Numancia vs Albacete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
19%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
XER
0 - 3
NUM
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
NUM
0 - 1
ELC
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
UDL
1 - 2
NUM
35%
28%
38%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
POL
1 - 2
NUM
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
NUM
1 - 1
EIB
62%
24%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ALB
1 - 1
HER
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
ALB
1 - 0
XER
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
ELC
1 - 1
ALB
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
UDL
2 - 1
ALB
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ALB
2 - 0
POL
52%
27%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |