Numancia vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
LLE
3 - 0
NUM
68%
21%
12%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1997 |
NUM
1 - 1
LEG
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
UDL
5 - 1
NUM
75%
16%
8%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
NUM
0 - 0
ATB
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1997 |
RAC
1 - 0
NUM
79%
14%
6%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1997 |
LEG
1 - 2
ALA
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1997 |
ALA
2 - 1
ATB
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
SEV
1 - 0
ALA
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
ALA
2 - 0
LOG
60%
22%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1997 |
OVI
0 - 0
ALA
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |