Numancia vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
29.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
GER
0 - 1
NUM
19%
28%
53%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
NUM
0 - 1
AMU
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
BEA
3 - 1
NUM
32%
29%
39%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1994 |
NUM
1 - 0
CFP
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
RUN
0 - 1
NUM
32%
29%
40%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
ALA
5 - 0
UDC
81%
13%
7%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
ALA
3 - 0
GER
85%
11%
5%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ALA
23%
30%
47%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1994 |
ALA
5 - 0
AMU
81%
13%
6%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
TUD
0 - 2
ALA
25%
30%
46%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |