Numancia U19 vs Victoria CF U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+140%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
8º
3º
23
2º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 73 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 69 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 60 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 42 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 41 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 40 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 27 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 27 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 24 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 23 |
16º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CIA
1 - 2
NUM
32%
22%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
REA
2 - 2
NUM
80%
13%
8%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NUM
4 - 4
MER
58%
21%
22%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FUE
4 - 1
NUM
35%
23%
41%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NUM
1 - 0
GET
18%
22%
60%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Victoria CF U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VIC
1 - 1
CDP
42%
21%
37%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 3
VIC
49%
21%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VIC
3 - 2
CDP
25%
20%
55%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 0
VIC
51%
21%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
VIC
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |