Numancia B vs UD Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
LVC
0 - 1
NUM
41%
25%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
NUM
0 - 0
TOR
38%
25%
37%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
COL
2 - 2
NUM
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
NUM
1 - 3
SDA
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CAB
1 - 1
NUM
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
STM
2 - 1
LVC
36%
27%
37%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
STM
2 - 1
COL
39%
27%
34%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 2
STM
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
CFS
1 - 1
STM
49%
25%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CAB
2 - 1
STM
47%
25%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |