Numancia B vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
NUM
2 - 0
STM
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 3
NUM
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
NUM
3 - 1
BAÑ
67%
20%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CEB
1 - 0
NUM
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
NUM
2 - 0
UNA
66%
20%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 0
AVI
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
AVI
0 - 1
MAD
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
AVI
2 - 5
SDA
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 2
AVI
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
AVI
4 - 0
STM
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |