Numancia B vs Arandina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
48.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 2
NUM
19%
23%
58%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NUM
0 - 1
SDA
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
NUM
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
STM
0 - 2
NUM
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
NUM
0 - 1
CAB
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ACF
2 - 2
SAL
71%
18%
12%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AVI
0 - 0
ACF
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ACF
2 - 1
LVC
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ACF
1 - 2
AST
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SEG
3 - 3
ACF
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |