Nules vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
45.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
TOR
1 - 1
NUL
51%
27%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
NUL
1 - 0
ELD
35%
29%
35%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
AMA
2 - 1
NUL
64%
23%
13%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
NUL
0 - 3
CFC
25%
29%
46%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
MEL
3 - 1
NUL
66%
22%
12%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1988 |
HER
0 - 2
ARO
80%
13%
8%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
HER
2 - 1
LEV
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
GAN
1 - 3
HER
34%
30%
36%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
TOR
5 - 1
HER
24%
31%
45%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
HER
2 - 0
ELD
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |