Nules vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
+2
7.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.9%
33.2%
Draw
0-0
17.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
33.2%
35.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
SAN
3 - 1
NUL
59%
24%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
NUL
2 - 1
LOR
44%
31%
25%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
VIJ
2 - 2
NUL
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
ONT
0 - 1
NUL
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
NUL
2 - 0
ELC
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
AGD
0 - 0
LEV
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
HER
0 - 0
AGD
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
AGD
2 - 1
BAL
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
LOR
1 - 0
AGD
32%
33%
35%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
AGD
4 - 0
CIE
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |