Nules vs Alcala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
57.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 0
NUL
76%
16%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
OND
4 - 0
NUL
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
NUL
3 - 3
SON
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
UDV
3 - 0
NUL
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
NUL
2 - 4
CFS
41%
24%
36%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alcala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 1
OND
60%
20%
21%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SON
1 - 1
ALC
72%
15%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
UDV
24%
21%
55%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CFS
2 - 2
ALC
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALM
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |