New Zealand U23 vs France U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
54.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NZL
1 - 4
USA
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 2
NZL
5%
15%
80%
|
53 | 8 | 45 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
UZB
3 - 1
NZL
41%
23%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
2 - 1
CHN
46%
22%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
2 - 0
CHN
41%
23%
37%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
France U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 0
GUI
90%
8%
2%
|
63 | 8 | 55 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 0
USA
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
JPN
37%
24%
39%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
7 - 0
RDO
72%
16%
12%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
4 - 1
PAR
41%
23%
37%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |