New Zealand U23 vs USA U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 2
NZL
5%
15%
80%
|
53 | 8 | 45 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
UZB
3 - 1
NZL
41%
23%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
2 - 1
CHN
46%
22%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
2 - 0
CHN
41%
23%
37%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
JPN
0 - 0
NZL
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
USA U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 0
USA
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 1
USA
46%
23%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
USA
1 - 0
PAR
36%
23%
41%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
USA
0 - 2
JPN
22%
21%
57%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
USA
0 - 2
JPN
24%
21%
55%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |