Nueva Estrella vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.5%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
85%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.4%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.8%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.1%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 1
SAN
25%
28%
47%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
FYE
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
RES
1 - 1
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
OVE
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
12O
2 - 1
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |