Nueva Concepción vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 1
NUE
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 0
NUE
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 0
QUI
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
COM
1 - 2
NUE
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
NUE
2 - 3
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
SLC
0 - 2
ACH
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
ACH
0 - 3
IZT
24%
26%
51%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
ACH
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ACH
1 - 2
ANT
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 0
ACH
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |