Nueva Chicago vs Tiro Federal Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
FER
1 - 0
CHI
17%
26%
57%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 1
CAI
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
CAU
1 - 0
CHI
28%
27%
46%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 1
RAF
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
NOB
0 - 2
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Tiro Federal Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
TFE
1 - 0
SMA
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
QUI
0 - 0
TFE
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
TFE
0 - 1
BHU
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
IRV
1 - 0
TFE
47%
27%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
TFE
0 - 0
CAI
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |