Nueva Chicago vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MER
0 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 2
CEN
22%
28%
50%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GLP
4 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
ALD
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GIM
1 - 0
CHI
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
HUR
1 - 0
SAR
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 0
BUC
35%
27%
37%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 3
INS
34%
29%
38%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MER
2 - 3
SAR
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 1
CEN
27%
29%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |