Nueva Chicago vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
CHA
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 0
CHI
66%
20%
13%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 2
MIT
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
CHI
59%
22%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 1
SMA
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 1
MIT
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
SMA
37%
26%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 0
ALV
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |