Nueva Chicago vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
45.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
COL
3 - 1
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
CHI
1 - 1
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHI
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 2
QUI
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
RIV
2 - 1
CHI
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
SLO
2 - 1
STR
68%
19%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
STR
2 - 0
SLO
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SLO
1 - 1
RAF
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
TAL
0 - 3
SLO
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
SLO
6 - 0
MIR
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |