Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
42.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
AGR
3 - 0
CHI
55%
27%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 2
MAI
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
TEM
1 - 0
CHI
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 2
EST
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
GIM
0 - 1
CHI
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
QUI
3 - 1
CHA
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 0
QUI
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 1
MIT
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
EST
0 - 0
QUI
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
QUI
3 - 4
ALV
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |