Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ARS
2 - 0
CHI
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
CHI
3 - 2
ARG
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
RAC
2 - 0
CHI
68%
20%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
TAL
0 - 1
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 1
RAF
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
QUI
0 - 0
GOD
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
GLP
3 - 2
QUI
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
QUI
0 - 1
EST
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2006 |
QUI
1 - 3
RIV
20%
24%
57%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
TFE
1 - 1
QUI
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |