Nueva Chicago vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
EST
1 - 1
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 2
BAN
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 2
RAF
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
TAL
0 - 0
CHI
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAN
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
NOB
0 - 1
RAF
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
TAL
1 - 0
NOB
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
NOB
2 - 4
LAN
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
RAC
2 - 2
NOB
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
NOB
4 - 1
CHA
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |