Nueva Chicago vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BUC
0 - 0
CHI
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
DHA
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
CHI
35%
32%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
SMA
31%
29%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 2
CHI
51%
28%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
INS
2 - 2
GIM
49%
28%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
BUC
1 - 2
INS
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
INS
0 - 1
DHA
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FER
1 - 3
INS
32%
32%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
INS
2 - 0
SMA
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |