Nueva Chicago vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
46.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BAN
3 - 1
CHI
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 3
HUR
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
BUC
2 - 0
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
SAR
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MER
0 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
INS
1 - 0
DYJ
44%
28%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 0
INS
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
INS
0 - 1
FER
47%
29%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
HUR
2 - 2
INS
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
INS
1 - 1
CDN
61%
24%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |