Nueva Chicago vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 0
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
ARG
32%
30%
38%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
COL
3 - 0
CHI
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 1
GAF
55%
26%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ALD
1 - 1
CHI
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
GIM
35%
33%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
FER
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
BUC
33%
30%
36%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
DHA
2 - 0
FER
38%
30%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 0
FER
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |