Nueva Chicago vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
AND
66%
22%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
CDN
1 - 0
CHI
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BUC
2 - 1
CHI
22%
29%
49%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 1
CCS
73%
19%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 1
INS
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
GBR
1 - 1
RSA
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
RSA
0 - 2
CHA
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
BRO
2 - 2
RSA
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
RSA
2 - 1
ALB
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
TAL
1 - 0
RSA
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |