Nueva Chicago vs Dep. Riestra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 0
CHI
71%
20%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
SMA
22%
26%
52%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
CHA
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 0
CHI
66%
20%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
RIE
4 - 0
CHA
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 2
RIE
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
RIE
2 - 0
MIT
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
RIE
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
RIE
1 - 0
ALV
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |