Nueva Chicago vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 1
SLO
23%
29%
48%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
GLP
2 - 1
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 2
GOD
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 2
CAU
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
DFR
7 - 1
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
DFR
1 - 1
TFE
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
DFR
0 - 2
TAL
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
IND
0 - 3
DFR
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
DFR
2 - 0
UNI
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |