Primera B Metro. Final
Global 2-2
Nueva Chicago vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
24.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
BRO
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 3
BAR
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
EST
1 - 0
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
COL
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
AND
1 - 2
CHI
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 0
VSC
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 0
MOR
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 2
MOR
53%
27%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 0
DEF
29%
29%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 2
VSC
56%
26%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |