Nueva Chicago vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
54.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 1
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
NOB
1 - 1
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CHI
1 - 2
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
BAN
2 - 0
CHI
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 1
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
TAC
0 - 0
RIV
26%
25%
49%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
CIE
1 - 0
RIV
35%
24%
42%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 2
RIV
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
RIV
3 - 3
CIE
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
RIV
1 - 1
TAL
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |