Nueva Chicago vs Ben Hur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 1
TAL
70%
20%
11%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ALD
2 - 2
CHI
27%
28%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
CHI
0 - 1
ALM
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
PLA
3 - 3
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 0
TFE
70%
20%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Ben Hur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
BHU
0 - 1
SMA
25%
27%
47%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 1
BHU
74%
18%
8%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
BHU
0 - 1
INS
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
BHU
0 - 1
IRV
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
BHU
2 - 2
FER
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |