Nueva Chicago vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
49.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
SMA
3 - 1
CHI
73%
19%
8%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 3
ALM
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 3
CHI
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
ATL
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MIT
1 - 0
CHI
54%
25%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
BEL
3 - 0
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 0
BEL
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 1
MIT
66%
22%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
EST
0 - 0
BEL
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BEL
3 - 0
ALV
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |