Nueva Chicago vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
NOB
2 - 0
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
CHI
1 - 1
IND
48%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
VEL
2 - 1
CHI
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 0
BAN
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
BOC
0 - 0
CHI
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
BEL
0 - 0
EST
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
CAU
1 - 0
BEL
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
BEL
0 - 1
HUR
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
TAL
3 - 1
BEL
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
BEL
1 - 1
CEN
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |