CF La Nucía vs UD Castellonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
14º
4º
32
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 62 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 56 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 54 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 53 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 50 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 45 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 44 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 34 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 31 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 30 |
18º
|
34% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9% | 6.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
48% | 55.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
43% | 38% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF La Nucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 0
NUC
15%
20%
65%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
RAY
0 - 1
NUC
11%
18%
71%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 4
NUC
30%
24%
47%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NUC
1 - 2
SON
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
PBL
1 - 0
NUC
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
UD Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
UDC
0 - 3
RAY
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ATH
3 - 0
UDC
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UDC
1 - 0
SAG
17%
25%
58%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CRE
2 - 2
UDC
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UDC
1 - 2
ONT
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |