Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 1-1
CF La Nucía vs CD Comarca de Níjar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF La Nucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
LAU
2 - 1
NUC
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NUC
1 - 0
LAU
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 1
NUC
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
NUC
0 - 0
MIS
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 0
NUC
24%
26%
49%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD Comarca de Níjar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
NIJ
1 - 0
VIL
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 0
NIJ
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 0
NIJ
23%
24%
52%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
NIJ
2 - 1
MAR
62%
23%
16%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
NIJ
2 - 0
ANT
48%
26%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |