Ñublense vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
HUA
3 - 1
NUB
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
NUB
1 - 1
CUR
53%
25%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 1
NUB
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
NUB
2 - 0
COL
30%
25%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
OHI
1 - 0
NUB
59%
22%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCH
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CUR
0 - 1
UCO
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
UCO
3 - 1
CSL
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
COB
2 - 0
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |