Ñublense vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 1
NUB
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
NUB
1 - 2
COB
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
ACS
2 - 1
NUB
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 2
NUB
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NUB
2 - 3
UCO
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 0
DLS
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
CSL
1 - 1
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 0
IQU
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 0
UCO
46%
24%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 0
UNI
56%
22%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |